Model-Based Demography [electronic resource] : Essays on Integrating Data, Technique and Theory

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Tác giả: Thomas K Burch

Ngôn ngữ: ger

ISBN-13: 978-3319654331

Ký hiệu phân loại: 304.6 Population

Thông tin xuất bản: Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2018

Mô tả vật lý: XVIII, 200 p. 7 illus. , online resource.

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 169164

Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains a selection of resulting papers, some previously unpublished, some published but not readily accessible [from past meetings of The International Union for the Scientific Study of Population and its research committees, or from other small conferences and seminars]. Rejecting the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics, his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy of science, specifically the semantic or model-based school, demography is a balanced discipline, with a rich body of techniques and data, but also with more and better theories than generally recognized. As demonstrated in this book, some demographic techniques can also be seen as theoretical models, and some substantive/behavioral models, commonly rejected as theory because of inconsistent observations, are now seen as valuable theoretical models, for example demographic transition theory. This book shows how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling [both macro- and micro-simulation], in the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas, as well as for numerical computation. This book is open access under a CC BY license.
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